Market Update

March 2026 Market Update

As we move toward the spring selling season, the Central Texas housing market is beginning to show signs of renewed momentum. Over the past few weeks, we have seen a noticeable thaw in activity. Several well-prepared listings that entered the market with disciplined pricing moved to contract quickly, and more properties are preparing to come to market as confidence gradually returns. Recent regional data reflects this shift. Pending sales increased compared to the same period last year, while active listings declined modestly across the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos region. At the same time, the close-to-list price ratio improved, suggesting that buyers and sellers are becoming more aligned in their expectations. This does not indicate a return to the overheated conditions of prior years. Instead, it points to a more balanced and functioning market environment — one where opportunities exist for both buyers and sellers who approach decisions with preparation and clear strategy. Buyers are re-engaging, but they remain thoughtful. Sellers are achieving results when homes are positioned intentionally and priced in alignment with current conditions. In many cases, timing, terms, and negotiation structure continue to play as important a role as price itself. As the traditional spring market begins to take shape, leverage is being created less through urgency and more through disciplined execution. Properties that enter the market prepared — and supported by realistic positioning — are attracting stronger interest and more meaningful buyer response. For those considering a move this year, understanding how preparation, pricing, and negotiation influence outcome will be increasingly important as activity builds across Central Texas.
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February 2026 Market Update

The Central Texas housing market is entering 2026 with steady inventory, stable pricing, and renewed buyer activity. According to the most recent data from Unlock MLS, pending sales rose to 2,349 transactions — up 10.1% year over year and more than 23% from December. As we approach the spring season, that increase signals that buyers are re-engaging, even if they are moving more deliberately than in previous years. Active listings remain steady at just over 10,000 properties, while months of inventory has declined compared to last year — indicating that demand is beginning to absorb new supply more efficiently. The median home price currently stands at $400,495, down modestly year over year but holding within a stable range. What this reflects is a market that has normalized. We are no longer in the overheated conditions of prior years. Instead, supply, pricing, and demand are interacting in a more predictable pattern. That stability creates a healthier foundation for both buyers and sellers — but it also requires more discipline. Homes are selling. Buyers are purchasing. Transactions are closing. But deals are taking more preparation and more thoughtful negotiation to reach the finish line. Pricing decisions matter. Preparation matters. Terms and timing matter. In this environment, leverage is created through structured strategy and disciplined execution — not urgency. If you are considering buying or selling this spring, understanding how positioning influences outcome will be increasingly important.
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January 2026 Market Snapshot

In 2025, while closed sales across the Central Texas MSA dipped 3.2% to 29,383 transactions, buyer activity gained traction in the second half of the year as pricing continued to normalize and inventory settled after peaking midyear. These trends reflect a market that recalibrated and moved toward greater balance and predictability. Vaike O’Grady, research advisor at Unlock MLS, noted that December 2025 data mirrored broader behavioral shifts in the market, reflecting how both buyers and sellers adjusted their approach throughout the year to navigate changing conditions more successfully. As the year progressed, sellers recalibrated expectations, buyers reengaged, and overall market pace normalized. December 2025 figures confirmed that shift, with more than 2,500 closed home sales — an increase compared to December 2024 — even as buyers moved more deliberately and pricing remained realistic. Looking ahead to 2026, experts anticipate continued stability in the Central Texas housing market. Mortgage rates are projected to remain near 6%, with home sales and prices expected to hold relatively flat. At the same time, improving affordability and a resilient local job market position the region to weather broader national uncertainty and support gradual, sustainable growth. 2025 reinforced that success in today’s housing market isn’t simply about timing. Preparation, strategy, and trusted guidance remain key factors in navigating evolving conditions. Pfau & Company Realtors serves Central Texas, with a primary focus on Williamson, Burnet, and Travis counties, including Liberty Hill, Georgetown, and surrounding Hill Country communities.
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December 2025 Market Snapshot

Merry Christmas to you and your family. According to the November 2025 Central Texas Housing Report released by Unlock MLS, pending sales in the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA rose 4.5% to 2,269 pending sales, and inventory reached 6.3 months, the highest level recorded in over a year. While prices remained stable—dipping 1.1% year over year to $430,000—closed sales fell 15.9% to 1,895 transactions. "It is important to remember that November 2024 sales were boosted by the Fed's first cut in interest rates, and mortgage rates moved accordingly. This year's 16% drop appears steeper than it might under typical conditions,” Vaike O'Grady, market research advisor for Unlock MLS, said. “While October’s government shutdown likely impacted November 2025 closings, the 5% year-over-year increase in pending sales is encouraging and shows that motivated buyers are reentering the market.” ***For buyer's and seller's, inventory is up and rates are going down slowly. Get prepared to buy or sell if you have been waiting! Contact us for guidance.Merry Christmas to you and your family. According to the November 2025 Central Texas Housing Report released by Unlock MLS, pending sales in the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA rose 4.5% to 2,269 pending sales, and inventory reached 6.3 months, the highest level recorded in over a year. While prices remained stable—dipping 1.1% year over year to $430,000—closed sales fell 15.9% to 1,895 transactions. "It is important to remember that November 2024 sales were boosted by the Fed's first cut in interest rates, and mortgage rates moved accordingly. This year's 16% drop appears steeper than it might under typical conditions,” Vaike O'Grady, market research advisor for Unlock MLS, said. “While October’s government shutdown likely impacted November 2025 closings, the 5% year-over-year increase in pending sales is encouraging and shows that motivated buyers are reentering the market.”  ***For buyer's and seller's, inventory is up and rates are going down slowly. Get prepared to buy or sell if you have been waiting! Contact us for guidance. Pfau & Company Realtors serves Central Texas, with a primary focus on Williamson, Burnet, and Travis counties, including Liberty Hill, Georgetown, and surrounding Hill Country communities.
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